ler totalmente Discover the Unknown: Harnessing the Power of System Dynamics

The approach presented in this book will enable you to identify “unknown unknowns,” and make sense out of complex situations.
Section 1: Examples of Leading-Edge Analyses

• Tariffs: What could possibly go wrong? How will tariffs make us all poorer?
• Light versus Heavy Crude: Market dynamics and factors to be considered by refiners and transportation departments (DOTs)
• Electric Power Deregulation: EPAct of 1992—How were long-term prices affected? By how much? Why?
• Highway Construction: How to deliver projects as intended, on time & under budget
• No Child Left Behind: Education in the U.S.—how we got here, and future risks

• What are Key frameworks, processes, methods, and tools needed for strategic analysis?
• Usage of Key Components: Depth and breadth of usage across industry, including a detailed assessment of the transportation sector and a thorough proposal for developing “discovery” capabilities
• Autonomous Vehicles: Analyzing their future by using “Components” of Strategic Analysis, including causal analysis and a simulation of adoption rate in a major city.

• Teaching a Child to Ride a Bike: How to avoid scaring the child to pieces
• Why Do Mountain Climbers Die? Dealing with complexity, and the limitations of AI

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